Having previously decided on service games won and lost with
no surface adjustments in assessing an individual tennis match, it remains now
to take the step from judging a single match to combining the results of over
7000 matches (an approximate total for a full ATP World Tour, ATP Challenger
Tour, and Davis Cup World Group season) into an overarching rating.
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Ranking tennis players: Method (part 1)
My last post concluded with the statement that I would be
presenting a tennis ranking system based on the answers to two questions: How
did you play, and who did you play? Before building such a system, however, it is first necessary to decide on the meanings of the questions themselves. I’ll tackle the queries in order.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Ranking tennis players: Motivation
When introducing a statistical system in sports, it’s always
worth considering what purpose the system will serve. In this case, since the
system is a ranking of tennis players, assessing the rankings used by the ATP,
the main officiators of men’s tennis, is a natural starting point in
determining whether a new system intended for the same purpose can be of use.
Monday, January 20, 2014
The top 5 postseason relievers ever
To complete the set of postseason lists (or at least the
positive ones), here are the top 5 relievers of all time by Championship
Probability Added. It’s a top-5 list rather than a top-10 because relievers
haven’t been a major postseason factor for nearly as long as starters or
position players, and because it’s harder for most of them to accrue as much positive
value. (Negative value is much easier, but that’s for another post at another
time.)
Thursday, January 16, 2014
The top 10 postseason starting pitchers ever
Having gone through the best hitters in playoff history, the
natural course of action is to switch over to the side of the game that tends
to dominate October – the pitchers. So here are the 10 best starting pitchers
in playoff history, in reverse order.
Wednesday, January 8, 2014
Lance Berkman: Stealth October Superstar
As promised, here
is the breakdown of the overpowering, overlooked postseason career of the
third-ranked hitter in Championship Probability Added:
Tuesday, January 7, 2014
The 20 best postseason hitters ever (by one method, anyway)
Since the postseason evaluation of this year's Hall of Fame ballot
turned out to be so pitching-heavy, here’s something to counterbalance it: the
top 20 postseason hitters of all time, by Championship Probability Added, with accompanying
breakdowns of their performances.
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